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County seeks to reverse slipping affordability
• Only 13% of jobs in county pay self-sufficient wage of at least $27/hour
Housing starts slow
The rate of housing development in the county has shrunk over the last two decades, with the number of housing units developed shrinking from 4,500 to just 80 from 2004 to 2019.

Stanislaus County is hoping to improve the quality of life for residents through initiatives which take a long-term approach to addressing its economic issues.

During a presentation to the Turlock City Council last week, Stanislaus County CEO Jody Hayes explained how collaboration between the area’s nine incorporated cities could make a difference when it comes to job creation, the housing crisis and economic development. The two initiatives spearheaded by the county are called Stanislaus 2030 and Housing Stanislaus.

“The basic concept is that every member of our community can work a normal occupation in Stanislaus County and afford to live in a safe neighborhood,” said Hayes. “That’s what it really all comes down to. That’s the fabric of any great community, and that’s what we’re trying to make sure that we lend our support to and work collaboratively with everyone we can here in our community.”

Stanislaus Community Foundation CEO Marian Kaanon said the Stanislaus 2030 initiative commissioned the Brookings Institution to study the county’s current economic conditions. Though the results of the report won’t be published until later this month, the information is meant to help the initiative and its collaborating entities develop a strategy and implementation plan for the county by this summer. 

The study found that over half of the county’s population struggles to make ends meet, suggesting that much of the county’s job base doesn’t provide opportunities for residents to meet a basic level of self-sufficiency. Additionally, a third of the local jobs provide pathways to prosperity and Stanislaus County is behind other regions when it comes to successful female- and minority-owned businesses. 

“It’s substantive and it’s sobering,” Kaanon said of the Brookings report. “I will tell you, they do not paint a rosy picture of what’s currently happening.”

According to 2019 data presented by Kaanon:

• 39 percent of Stanislaus County’s population belongs to a struggling working family, compared to 47 percent who come from self-sufficient families and 15 percent from struggling non-working families.

• Approximately 54 percent of those who come from struggling working families are children;

• 41 percent of those who come from struggling non-working families are seniors. 

In data from 2020, Kaanon shared that just 13 percent of jobs in Stanislaus County are considered “good” jobs, meaning they provide a self-sufficient wage of about $27 per hour, benefits and more. Around 22 percent of jobs in the county are considered “promising,” while the remaining 65 percent are classified as “other.”

There is a 40,000-job gap between “other” and “good” jobs that the county hopes to address through the Stanislaus 2030 initiative, noted Kaanon.

“We are woefully lacking across the county – and we’re not the only county in the Central Valley struggling with this – with wages that actually pay a living wage.”

The county is lacking in housing as well, as made evident by the Stanislaus Housing presentation. While Hayes informed the Turlock council that Stanislaus County is not trying to tell cities where and when they can build new homes, they wanted to develop a plan which focuses on addressing the upper rungs of housing insecurity rather than just homelessness. 

Housing Stanislaus is meant to alleviate issues with affordable housing, rental housing and home ownership in Stanislaus County. According to Alan Lange of Valley Vision, the county is expected to grow 10 percent by 2030 — despite a decrease in affordable housing availability. 

The rate of housing development in the county has shrunk over the last two decades, he added, with the number of housing units developed shrinking from 4,500 to just 80 from 2004 to 2019. 

As the investment plan for the county’s economy, Stanislaus 2030, is released this summer, the county also plans on holding a housing summit to develop official strategies for Housing Stanislaus. For more information, visit https://www.stanislaus2030.com/